Comments on: Five things I’ve learnt about horizon scanning

By: Big Food, Big Tobacco, and ultra-processed foods – the next wave

Big Food, Big Tobacco, and ultra-processed foods – the next wave — Mon, 23 Dec 2024 07:31:46 +0000

[…] this because we see them as a sign that an issue might be moving from the ‘Advancing’ stage of Graham Molitor’s policy S-curve into the choppy waters between ‘Advancing’ and […]

By: Mapping the actors – the next wave

Mapping the actors – the next wave — Tue, 17 Oct 2023 06:45:33 +0000

[…] because they are the people who are trying to make change happen. They are—in terms of Molitor’s S-curve—busy “advancing” some new policy […]

By: @chris_yapp

@chris_yapp — Tue, 12 Jul 2022 08:47:25 +0000

As usual insightful and readable. I would add one factor, which I call the “Prisoners of Language” problem. I used to ask people to discuss ” In the future, blind people will be able to drive cars”. I started around 2000 with this. The lesson was that the words blind, drive and car all could change in meaning on a realistic timescale. So, in horizon scanning on say ” the future of retailing” I’ve seen failed attempts to get to grip because ” Retail means Retail” type thinking.